Evan Ellis - Brazil's Collision Course with the United States

Nov 07, 2025

Dear Colleagues:

With this email, I am pleased to share with you my new work, “Brazil’s Collision Course With the U.S.?”, in which I examine the strategic shift in Brazil’s foreign policy under President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and its implications for U.S.–Brazil relations. I start my analysis from the historic perspective that, Since World War II, our two nations have maintained a complex friendship built on both cooperation and the different strategic and political imperatives of each partner…I argue that particularly under the current Lula administration, that relationship faces unprecedented strain with implications for both partners and the region.

The article examines the current Lula government’s pursuit of a left-leaning, internationalist agenda that nurtures ties with extra-hemispheric U.S. adversaries including China, Russia, and Iran. I note how, in recent years, that posture has translated into massive Chinese investments into multiple strategic sectors in Brazil, including energy, telecommunications, ports, and mining, as well as significant and growing cooperation in defense, artificial intelligence, and the space sector, among others. In multilateral affairs, I detail how Brazil’s role in the BRICs block has strengthened its coordination with China, Russia, Iran and others, and radicalized its role as promoter of a multipolar order that challenges U.S. interests.

I also address efforts by the current U.S. and Brazilian leadership to reduce tensions, and argue that deepened confrontation between our two countries is not inevitable, yet argues that leaderss and strategic planners on both sides would be wise to prepare for that possibility

The work is available HERE for download in ENGLISH:

Brasils Collision Course With The Us R Evan Ellis

6.3MB ∙ PDF file

Download

It is available HERE for download in SPANISH:

Brasil En Rumbo De Colision Con Estados Unidos R Evan Ellis

6.39MB ∙ PDF file

Download

It is available in ENGLISH from Expediente Abierto HERE:

https://www.expedienteabierto.org/brazils-collision-course-with-the-us/

It is available in SPANISH from Expediente Abierto HERE:

https://www.expedienteabierto.org/brasil-en-rumbo-de-colision-con-eeuu/

Media Appearances, and Radio Shows:

I would like to share with you my latest podcasts, media appearance and radio shows.

These include:

My November 6, 2025 interview with Edith Morales - with Diario Gestion (in Spanish): Rusia Enviaría Misiles Oreshnik a Venezuela, Trump Estudia la Acción Militar
My October 30, 2025 interview with Jennifer Garcia - from The Epoch Times - (in Spanish): ¿Estados Unidos intervendrá en Venezuela? Los 3 escenarios que Trump y Maduro temen
My October 30, 2025 interview with Normal Coronel - in his program Politica y Poder (in Spanish): Balance de la la Cumbre entre Trump y Xi y el Impacto en América Latina
My October 30, 2025 interview with Gaby Perozo - on the program Claro y Directa (in Spanish): Trump desde el Air Force One: Revela Todo sobre la Reunión Histórica con Xi

As usual, they further include my weekly segment of the John Batchelor Show “The New World Report””. The latest episodes (November 6, 2025) are:

Argentina: https://audioboom.com/posts/8803297-professor-evan-ellis-discusses-argentina-s-economic-stabilization-under-president-milei-who-resi
Bolivia, Chile and Peru: https://audioboom.com/posts/8803299-professor-evan-ellis-discusses-argentina-s-economic-stabilization-under-president-milei-who-resi
Venezuela: https://audioboom.com/posts/8803298-professor-evan-ellis-discusses-argentina-s-economic-stabilization-under-president-milei-who-resi
Brazil: https://audioboom.com/posts/8803300-professor-evan-ellis-discusses-argentina-s-economic-stabilization-under-president-milei-who-resi

Website for all Publications:

As always, at my professional website you can access these, and past publications, webinars and podcasts:

REvanEllis.com

Latest Book on China-Latin America:

My latest book, China Engages Latin America: Distorting Development and Democracy, is available through my publisher Palgrave-Macmillan, at:

https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-96049-0

Please feel free to share this post with a friend or colleague. If you would like to be included in my (always free) distribution list, I welcome the opportunity to include you:

Thank you, as always, for your interest in my work.

Respectfully,