Evan Ellis - Strategic Implications of the Deterioration of the Rules-Based International Order
Dear Colleague,
With this email, I am proud to share with you my newest think piece, “Strategic Implications of the Deterioration of the Rules-Based International Order,” just published in English, Spanish and Portuguese by the Center for Strategic Studies of the Peruvian Army (CEEEP).
The work shows how the multiple crises currently playing out in Ukraine, the Middle East, the Taiwan straits, and even Guyana’s Essequibo region, reflect a deterioration of the rules-based international order that has served as the foundation for economic growth, technological progress, and the limitation of interstate conflict since the end of the Second World War.
It explores how the current deterioration is a product of the expansion of PRC economic and other power as the country pursues its interests, complimented by the enabling effect of that pursuit on a range of illiberal states, with distinct agendas, but united by a common interest in limiting the constraints of that order as they pursue their own interests.
Importantly, it looks at the implications of these trends for the future strategic environment, concluding that, over the long run, the deterioration of the rules-based order undermines democracy and economic progress and facilitates transnational crime and domestic conflict. It finds that such ongoing deterioration may further expand the frequency of inter-state conflict, even in Latin America, in a system in which militarily “stronger” authoritarian regimes increasingly lack constraint in taking what they want from their weaker neighbors.
Of special interest to military planners and strategic thinkers, this work argues that in this grave context, governments in the region may rediscover the relevance of their militaries in defending the nation against external, as well as environmental, criminal, and internal challenges.
The work is available for download here in English:
In Spanish:
and in Portuguese:
It is also available at the website of the Center for Strategic Studies of the Peruvian Army (CEEEP), which published and translated it:
In English:
https://ceeep.mil.pe/2024/02/01/implicaciones-estrategicas-del-deterioro-del-orden-internacional-basado-en-normas/?lang=en
In Spanish:
https://ceeep.mil.pe/2024/02/01/implicaciones-estrategicas-del-deterioro-del-orden-internacional-basado-en-normas/
In Portuguese:
https://ceeep.mil.pe/2024/02/01/implicaciones-estrategicas-del-deterioro-del-orden-internacional-basado-en-normas/
Podcast and Radio Shows:
As always, I would also like to share with you the links to my latest podcasts. These include my latest segments on the John Batchelor Show, in his special ongoing series on Latin America, The New World Report. You may find these weekly podcasts, which we have been doing regularly for well over a year now, as a useful analysis of key events in the region. The full list is available on my website:
https://www.revanellis.com
The latest episodes are:
Argentina: January 31: https://audioboom.com/posts/8450372-newworldreport-the-surprising-milei-of-argentina-what-is-to-be-done-latin-american-research
Mexico: January 31: https://audioboom.com/posts/8450373-newworldreport-mexico-two-first-rate-candidates-latin-american-research-professor-evan-el
El Salvador, Peru, Panama: January 31: https://audioboom.com/posts/8450375-elsalvador-peru-bukele-landslide-panama-drought-ecuador-subsidies-machu-picchu-protest
Venezuela: January 31: https://audioboom.com/posts/8450376-newworldreport-venezuela-sanctioning-caracas-again-latin-american-research-professor-evan
Website for all Publications:
As always, at my professional website you can access the present, and all of my past publications, as well as select webinars and podcasts:
https://revanellis.com/
I am pleased to announce that the website now has its own search engine and improved functionality for browsing and accessing my older articles, thanks to a gift by my brilliant son and Information Technology professional, Brandon Ellis.
Book on China-Latin America:
My latest book, China Engages Latin America: Distorting Development and Democracy, is available through my publisher Palgrave-Macmillan, at:
https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-96049-0
Please feel free to share this post with a friend or colleague. If you would like to be included in my (always free) distribution list, I welcome the opportunity to include you:
Thank you, as always, for your interest in my work.
Respectfully,
R. Evan Ellis, PhD
Latin America Research Professor
U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute
@REvanEllis
Website: https://revanellis.com